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Red61
93514.7
193923.7
21677.9
Blue35
17648.4
289410.3
237310.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223060806135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.7
21.523.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
2373
#23
10.90.7
8.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
#10
14.71.6
12.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2894
#39
10.30.7
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#33
7.91.6
6.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1764
#52
8.40.7
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End