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Red4
24570.6
18023.9
34856.8
Blue3
23573.5
37643.5
20082.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166010203040506043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3485
#24
6.80.8
7.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2357
#28
3.50.3
3.53.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1802
#25
3.90.8
5.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3764
#45
3.50.3
1.51.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2457
#35
0.60.8
2.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2008
#50
2.00.3
2.32.0
Auto
Teleop
End