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Red1
322811.5
29207.9
34710.1
Blue4
299218.0
34683.4
30394.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828020405060708014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3228
#12
11.50.8
1.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
18.01.8
13.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2920
#37
7.90.8
8.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3039
#26
4.61.8
6.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3471
#34
0.10.8
1.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3468
#13
3.41.8
5.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End