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Red2
19205.8
18181.7
20803.9
Blue43
299218.0
21838.5
224211.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11270204050607080243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1920
#29
5.81.0
5.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
18.01.5
12.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2080
#28
3.91.0
5.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
11.61.5
8.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1818
#35
1.71.0
2.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2183
#16
8.51.5
4.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End