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Red1
224211.6
18181.7
33503.4
Blue39
191212.2
38173.8
192721.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1423010203040506070139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.61.2
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
1927
#10
21.41.4
13.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3350
#27
3.41.2
4.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
1912
#23
12.21.4
6.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1818
#35
1.71.2
1.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3817
#25
3.81.4
1.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End