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Red10
36064.5
34710.1
341120.0
Blue0
18181.7
322811.5
29751.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1670406080100100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3411
#11
20.00.4
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
3228
#12
11.50.7
2.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3606
#24
4.51.8
4.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1818
#35
1.70.7
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3471
#34
0.12.6
0.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2975
#32
1.20.7
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End