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Red20
146820.4
313710.7
21614.7
Blue48
28755.6
8847.4
52713.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321010304050602048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#24
20.40.5
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
527
#23
13.31.7
10.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3137
#15
10.70.5
4.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
884
#13
7.42.3
4.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2161
#41
4.70.5
3.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2875
#40
5.62.3
5.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End