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Red20
15548.2
13587.7
52713.3
Blue3
81014.8
5693.1
3299.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21170406080100203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#23
13.30.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
810
#22
14.81.2
7.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1554
#32
8.20.0
6.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
329
#17
9.51.2
8.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1358
#27
7.70.0
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
569
#48
3.11.2
2.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End