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Red0
36240.5
28755.6
5693.1
Blue17
15463.9
12038.4
3521.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116020304050017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#40
5.60.9
8.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1203
#16
8.40.8
1.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
#48
3.10.9
0.3-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1546
#31
3.90.8
3.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3624
#42
0.50.9
2.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
352
#18
1.20.8
1.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End