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Red24
51412.1
36240.5
162618.4
Blue1
3759.3
31714.5
116813.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23180406080100241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.1
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1168
#10
13.41.4
4.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
514
#12
12.10.2
8.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
375
#29
9.31.3
9.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3624
#42
0.52.5
5.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
3171
#36
4.51.4
4.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End