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Red42
28726.5
28718.9
34607.4
Blue8
162618.4
21614.7
28755.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322010304050428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#9
18.91.6
14.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
18.40.7
13.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3460
#45
7.41.6
2.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2875
#40
5.61.2
4.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2872
#30
6.51.6
6.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2161
#41
4.71.2
4.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End