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Red48
17511.7
52214.8
26317.9
Blue27
12038.4
52713.3
8712.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34200103040506070804827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#3
17.90.8
16.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
527
#23
13.30.2
12.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
#4
14.80.8
13.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1203
#16
8.40.4
6.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1751
#47
1.71.3
2.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
871
#37
2.40.4
4.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End