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Red16
87020.7
313710.7
179611.1
Blue0
5335.6
26317.9
34743.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26200406080160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
20.70.7
12.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
263
#3
17.91.7
11.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.10.7
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
533
#33
5.61.7
6.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3137
#15
10.70.8
5.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
3474
#26
3.01.5
3.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End