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Qual 232011 Boston Regional
Red2
25239.4
36875.4
328014.4
Blue18
201319.4
34791.2
28713.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2210030405060218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3280
#16
14.40.9
11.6→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
2013
#3
19.40.5
6.7→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2523
#31
9.41.5
5.6→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
2871
#19
3.80.5
0.8→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3687
#22
5.41.5
2.7→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
3479
#40
1.20.5
4.0→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—