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Red9
23496.7
28762.7
22213.1
Blue2
34813.9
176110.2
19731.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22210103040506092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#12
13.11.0
13.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
348
#10
13.91.0
10.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2349
#32
6.71.0
4.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1761
#11
10.21.7
8.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2876
#20
2.70.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1973
#51
1.61.0
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End