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Red0
226215.9
529-2.7
17574.9
Blue12
2418.4
6116.3
36875.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22320406080100012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.8
16.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
61
#23
16.30.9
17.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1757
#17
4.91.8
7.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
241
#26
8.40.9
9.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
529
#53
-2.71.8
-0.6-2.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
3687
#22
5.41.6
4.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End