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Red41
6116.3
19225.7
176110.2
Blue48
1574.4
264821.2
323611.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293502060801001201404148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#23
16.30.6
16.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
21.20.7
19.219.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1761
#11
10.20.8
9.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3236
#29
11.21.0
11.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1922
#44
5.70.6
3.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
157
#35
4.40.7
3.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End