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Red32
226215.9
115317.7
34791.2
Blue49
17574.9
28713.8
12534.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32460204060801003249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#15
17.70.1
18.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
125
#2
34.80.3
33.233.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.90.2
14.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1757
#17
4.90.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3479
#40
1.20.2
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2871
#19
3.80.4
4.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End