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Red15
19731.6
978.8
20848.4
Blue41
1574.4
63920.6
36875.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14300204060801001541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97
#18
8.80.1
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
639
#5
20.60.7
19.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2084
#43
8.40.1
8.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3687
#22
5.41.0
4.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1973
#51
1.60.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
157
#35
4.40.7
3.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End