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Qual 852011 Boston Regional
Red6
23496.7
323611.2
20794.3
Blue63
54914.1
109914.7
328014.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243606080100663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#29
11.21.3
12.6→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.5
1099
#24
14.72.1
10.0→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2349
#32
6.71.3
8.1→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.6
3280
#16
14.41.4
12.1→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2079
#30
4.31.3
5.3→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.8
549
#28
14.11.4
12.3→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—