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Semifinal 1-22011 Boston Regional
Red116
8831.7
109914.7
7837.0
Blue108
110019.3
2418.4
115317.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9033050100150200116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#9
37.00.6
36.2→36.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.7
1100
#6
19.31.1
18.2→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
88
#1
31.70.6
30.9→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.0
1153
#15
17.71.1
16.6→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1099
#24
14.70.8
13.7→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
241
#26
8.41.1
7.3→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—