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Red96
2378.8
71415.5
83632.5
Blue65
169910.7
121834.5
76818.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57662040801001201409665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
32.50.6
33.033.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1218
#10
34.50.0
34.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
714
#1
15.50.8
16.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
768
#2
18.80.0
18.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
237
#15
8.80.8
9.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1699
#29
10.70.0
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End