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Red34
17275.6
121834.5
18932.2
Blue71
19805.8
25374.3
34030.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801001203471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
34.50.3
27.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
340
#5
30.42.1
24.626.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1727
#55
5.60.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1980
#42
5.83.2
4.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
#56
2.20.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2537
#54
4.33.2
3.36.5
Auto
Teleop
End