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Qual 182011 Chesapeake Regional
Red0
25283.4
535.6
14460.2
Blue15
31500.3
17483.0
2378.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511050100150015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
#32
5.61.2
4.7→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
237
#15
8.80.3
6.7→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2528
#43
3.41.2
6.7→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1748
#23
3.00.3
4.0→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1446
#53
0.21.2
3.2→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
3150
#60
0.30.3
0.7→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—