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Red0
18932.2
19805.8
31544.1
Blue35
219912.8
535.6
18959.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15170102030405060035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1980
#42
5.81.3
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2199
#18
12.81.3
7.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3154
#49
4.11.3
4.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
9.01.6
5.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1893
#56
2.21.3
5.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
53
#32
5.61.6
3.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End