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Qual 262011 Chesapeake Regional
Red48
34030.4
28663.6
3164.7
Blue3
25466.6
50912.9
111115.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391706080100483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
30.40.6
26.8→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.0
1111
#21
15.41.4
7.7→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
316
#24
4.71.0
4.0→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.2
509
#14
12.90.9
9.5→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2866
#40
3.61.0
5.2→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
2546
#28
6.61.4
3.0→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—