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Red49
37484.3
219912.8
3164.7
Blue2
2378.8
4225.0
37932.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19160406080100492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#18
12.81.7
11.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
237
#15
8.81.2
6.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#24
4.72.5
5.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
422
#39
5.01.2
6.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3748
#46
4.32.5
2.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3793
#57
2.71.2
3.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End