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Red9
2042.7
237712.7
3164.7
Blue22
25283.4
4843.6
121834.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26440206080922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#37
12.71.7
17.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
1218
#10
34.51.0
27.726.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#24
4.71.7
7.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
484
#47
3.61.6
6.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
204
#31
2.71.7
3.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2528
#43
3.41.6
6.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End