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Qual 462011 Chesapeake Regional
Red6
26410.7
75.6
88811.7
Blue12
33070.1
33896.9
19805.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25210406080612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#22
11.71.5
13.0→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
3389
#36
6.90.8
9.0→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
7
#35
5.61.5
7.7→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
1980
#42
5.80.8
7.8→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2641
#41
0.70.9
3.2→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
3307
#20
0.10.8
4.3→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—