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Red6
28494.2
31500.3
33896.9
Blue18
3164.7
6864.3
1781.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1390203040506070618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3389
#36
6.90.5
8.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
316
#24
4.70.7
5.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2849
#58
4.20.5
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
686
#34
4.30.7
2.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3150
#60
0.30.5
-0.2-0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
178
#25
1.80.7
1.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End