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Red74
50912.9
37143.5
83632.5
Blue30
237712.7
28494.2
28366.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422060801007430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
32.51.7
27.629.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
2377
#37
12.70.4
14.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
509
#14
12.91.7
11.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2836
#52
6.20.4
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3714
#45
3.52.8
1.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2849
#58
4.20.4
3.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End