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Red1
25374.3
17194.9
535.6
Blue12
1781.8
169910.7
26410.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16150102030405060112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
#32
5.61.2
5.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1699
#29
10.70.2
10.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1719
#51
4.91.2
4.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
178
#25
1.80.2
3.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2537
#54
4.31.2
6.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2641
#41
0.70.1
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End