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Red2
28663.6
29127.7
169910.7
Blue0
1781.8
28366.2
19805.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2716010405060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#29
10.71.8
9.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2836
#52
6.21.4
7.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2912
#12
7.71.7
9.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1980
#42
5.81.5
7.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2866
#40
3.61.8
5.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
178
#25
1.81.3
3.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End