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Red106
76818.8
121834.5
169910.7
Blue65
114314.8
13414.0
25013.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66350208010012014010665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
34.50.8
33.734.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
1143
#11
14.80.6
13.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
768
#2
18.81.0
17.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
134
#17
14.00.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1699
#29
10.71.1
9.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
250
#7
13.80.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End