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Red80
36401.2
215310.2
2730.9
Blue33
357210.7
2442.9
335714.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3160204060801008033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
30.92.9
19.522.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
3357
#22
14.31.4
5.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
#13
10.24.4
4.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3572
#31
10.79.4
14.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3640
#27
1.23.6
4.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
244
#34
2.91.5
1.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End