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Red2
36401.2
22457.3
24053.3
Blue6
38759.8
215310.2
8581.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1422040608026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2245
#20
7.30.7
6.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2153
#13
10.21.1
11.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2405
#39
3.31.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
3875
#11
9.81.1
8.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3640
#27
1.21.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
858
#33
1.51.1
0.5-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End