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Red60
200017.8
38759.8
22457.3
Blue21
14114.7
2885.3
1079.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29310204060806021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.81.5
16.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
141
#15
14.70.5
14.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3875
#11
9.82.0
7.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
107
#26
9.50.7
9.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2245
#20
7.31.5
6.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
288
#37
5.30.5
6.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End