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Red71
181615.5
16528.5
217515.8
Blue1
32906.7
36916.3
24918.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412006080100711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.7
14.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2491
#22
8.10.6
8.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#21
15.50.6
14.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
6.70.5
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1652
#36
8.50.6
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3691
#20
6.30.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End