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Red10
302610.8
223910.1
25292.7
Blue17
217515.8
22251.3
30558.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1615010203040501017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#12
10.80.4
4.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
15.80.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2239
#31
10.10.4
3.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3055
#26
8.40.1
5.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2529
#41
2.70.4
7.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2225
#39
1.30.1
4.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End