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Red0
36101.2
302610.8
24805.3
Blue10
37232.8
253110.6
29775.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1560102030405060010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#12
10.81.1
3.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2531
#32
10.60.2
4.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2480
#28
5.31.1
9.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2977
#24
5.50.2
1.92.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3610
#60
1.21.1
0.2-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3723
#55
2.80.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End