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Red35
26549.5
181615.5
313014.5
Blue41
36916.3
217515.8
64811.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31140204060803541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#21
15.50.3
13.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
15.82.0
6.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
14.50.5
11.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
648
#17
11.92.0
5.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2654
#35
9.50.5
3.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3691
#20
6.32.0
5.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End