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Red0
253110.6
36336.3
22251.3
Blue65
251239.8
64811.9
17646.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175604080100065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#32
10.61.9
10.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.2
39.80.7
36.437.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3633
#45
6.31.9
9.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
648
#17
11.91.2
8.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2225
#39
1.31.9
3.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1764
#38
6.80.7
5.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End