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Red18
254911.9
36996.3
28234.8
Blue21
327710.5
21645.5
29775.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162001030405060701821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#25
11.90.1
11.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3277
#13
10.50.1
9.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3699
#27
6.30.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2164
#44
5.50.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2823
#46
4.80.1
3.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2977
#24
5.50.1
4.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End