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Red8
223910.1
31022.6
32939.2
Blue48
30903.5
253110.6
247210.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1618010203040848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2239
#31
10.10.7
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2531
#32
10.62.4
8.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3293
#53
9.20.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2472
#14
10.62.4
8.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3102
#51
2.60.7
1.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3090
#52
3.52.5
0.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End