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Red45
254911.9
32787.2
217717.0
Blue18
53719.6
313014.5
32939.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33470204060801001204518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2177
#11
17.00.2
16.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
537
#4
19.60.4
20.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2549
#25
11.90.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
14.50.6
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3278
#10
7.20.3
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3293
#53
9.20.6
9.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End