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Red16
388315.6
28469.6
37455.4
Blue18
32768.3
24794.4
254513.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1916010304050601618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#12
15.60.2
8.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2545
#27
13.10.1
4.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2846
#29
9.60.1
7.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3276
#45
8.30.1
6.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3745
#36
5.40.2
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2479
#18
4.40.1
5.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End