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Red27
363011.9
36427.7
28257.6
Blue3
32448.3
37654.2
30815.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825020406080100273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#33
11.91.3
2.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3244
#43
8.31.6
9.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3642
#17
7.71.3
3.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3081
#39
5.61.6
5.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2825
#34
7.61.3
4.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3765
#40
4.21.6
7.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End