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Red60
33001.1
29894.4
206228.1
Blue50
205217.1
295710.6
36427.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31260204060806050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.5
26.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2052
#20
17.11.2
13.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2989
#53
4.42.5
3.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2957
#13
10.62.0
8.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3300
#57
1.12.5
0.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
3642
#17
7.72.0
4.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End