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Qual 112011 St. Louis Regional
Red40
12889.6
170610.5
120819.7
Blue0
38683.8
240811.6
29022.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320406080400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
19.71.1
12.4→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
2408
#15
11.60.6
4.4→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1706
#7
10.51.1
5.8→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
3868
#24Sur
3.80.6
2.4→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1288
#26Sur
9.61.1
8.7→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
2902
#18
2.10.6
0.1→-0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—