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Red39
109414.2
35197.1
29178.0
Blue4
240811.6
12889.6
36865.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1616010203040394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.21.9
9.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2408
#15
11.61.0
3.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2917
#27
8.01.9
3.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1288
#26
9.61.0
9.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3519
#13
7.11.9
3.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3686
#22
5.21.0
2.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End